Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.544786 2.668056 2.796932 2.942231 3.102125 3.273449 3.471888
2025-11-09 2.289269 2.450172 2.625117 2.831053 3.068976 3.337954 3.669099
2025-11-16 2.110877 2.294202 2.499530 2.749537 3.050044 3.405609 3.867875
2025-11-23 2.002662 2.205768 2.439261 2.732384 3.097992 3.550140 4.171497
2025-11-30 1.922183 2.141630 2.399729 2.732747 3.162558 3.717114 4.522887
2025-12-07 1.833730 2.060959 2.332914 2.691404 3.166939 3.802394 4.771312
2025-12-14 1.735191 1.961872 2.236454 2.603871 3.100877 3.782301 4.860004
2025-12-21 1.700663 1.939107 2.232929 2.634709 3.194112 3.991526 5.327468
2025-12-28 1.670686 1.919754 2.231579 2.666801 3.289909 4.213308 5.856564
2026-01-04 1.597577 1.842081 2.150375 2.584674 3.214498 4.165088 5.907387
2026-01-11 1.563181 1.812477 2.130453 2.585253 3.259037 4.308027 6.332739
2026-01-18 1.542106 1.798919 2.130649 2.613206 3.345612 4.527806 6.958185
2026-01-25 1.500572 1.761252 2.102342 2.607263 3.393416 4.713209 7.630427
2026-02-01 1.437654 1.693210 2.030028 2.533603 3.329314 4.696630 7.858221
2026-02-08 1.384303 1.636136 1.970534 2.475686 3.286374 4.714672 8.187474
2026-02-15 1.350793 1.604429 1.944775 2.466512 3.322776 4.888148 9.004031
2026-02-22 1.323644 1.580150 1.928087 2.469688 3.379950 5.112786 10.107280
2026-03-01 1.287473 1.542091 1.889943 2.436981 3.371352 5.201054 10.848139
2026-03-08 1.241787 1.489450 1.828820 2.364835 3.286728 5.114298 10.932150
2026-03-15 1.227777 1.480180 1.829885 2.391146 3.381765 5.440285 12.877284
2026-03-22 1.214813 1.471764 1.831593 2.418255 3.480894 5.799979 15.506995
2026-03-29 1.176379 1.426280 1.776816 2.349727 3.391709 5.683763 15.525438
2026-04-05 1.158607 1.409548 1.764187 2.350310 3.436540 5.915982 18.004141